000
FXUS63 KTOP 051723
AFDTOP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1123 AM CST Sat Dec 5 2020

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 257 AM CST Sat Dec 5 2020

The forecast remains rather quiet in terms of significant systems
impacting the local area and in any day-to-day large changes in
sensible weather. The main westerlies remain displaced well north
and south of the region through the bulk of the coming week with
mean ridging over the western CONUS. Weak features do lead to minor
changes in temps however.

Rather warm 925 mb temps and some mixing into this layer is keeping
temps steady tonight but a weak mid level wave passing south through
the central Plains brings slightly cooler temps in compared to
Friday. Some high clouds move in late tonight as an upper wave dives
south into the Midwest. Another slight cool-down may keep highs in
the 40s for most locations Sunday. Winds become more westerly Monday
into Wednesday with highs likely breaching 60 by then. Guidance
begins to diverge with changes to the pattern into the late week
with a southern branch wave now staying to the south before stronger
northwest flow builds into the region, thus late week precip chances
are not as apparent as they were in recent days.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at  1121 AM CST Sat Dec 5 2020

Added some afternoon wind gusts as a weak wave moves over the
state and mixes down some gusts, otherwise winds remain generally
northerly and conditions VFR through the period.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...65
AVIATION...67

NWS TOP Office Area Forecast Discussion