FXUS63 KTOP 221644

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1144 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Early this morning the mid level trough was moving off into Missouri
with precipitation located south of Garnett moving off to the south.
At the surface the center of the surface high was located across the

Today, surface high pressure will build south into eastern Kansas as
the upper trough moves off to the east while a upper level high
pressure will be anchored over the Four Corners. Northerly winds
will usher in drier air today and cooler temperatures are expected
as well which will make for a pleasant day. Highs are expected to
top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s which is about 10 degrees
below normal for late July. Tonight lows will cool into the mid 50s
near the Nebraska border to the upper 50s elsewhere.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Dry weather is expected to continue for the rest of the week and
into the weekend. A northwest flow pattern will continue into late
week with the upper high in the west and a trough in the east. The
main belt of the westerlies will remain north of the area into the
weekend. The surface high will remain over the region through
early Thursday before moving off to the east. A gradual warm up is
expected through the week with temperatures warming back into the
lower 90s for the weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1144 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Dry air and surface ridging should keep VFR conditions in place
with just some SCT CU around 4 KFT that is expected to dissipate
with the lose of heating.





NWS TOP Office Area Forecast Discussion